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South Africa
Stears South African Rand Exchange Rate Forecast
Description

The Stears Exchange Rate Forecast predicts quarterly and five-year currency-to-dollar exchange rates, updated monthly.

Data Sources
South Africa Reserve Bank (SARB), Statistics South Africa (SSS)
South African Rand Exchange Rate Monitor
Description

Official currency of South Africa, managed by the South African Reserve Bank

Methodology
Data Sources
South Africa Reserve Bank (SARB)
Democracy and elections
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South Africa - Stears Inflation Forecast
Description

Stears monthly and annual inflation forecasts

Data Source
Stears, Statistics South Africa (SSS)
South Africa - Headline Inflation, Monthly & Quarterly
Description

The overall change in consumer prices for goods and services, measured as a percentage over time.

Data Source
Statistics SA
South Africa - Headline Inflation, Annual
Description

The annual change in consumer prices for goods and services, measured as a percentage.

Methodology

This data was collected from the World Bank, based on data from the World Integrated Trade Solution platform. The source's data is classified using the Harmonized System of trade at the six- or eight-digit level. Tariff line data were matched to Standard International Trade Classification (SITC) revision 3 codes to define commodity groups and import weights. To the extent possible, specific rates have been converted to their ad valorem equivalent rates and have been included in the calculation of weighted mean tariffs. Import weights were calculated using the United Nations Statistics Division's Commodity Trade (Comtrade) database. Effectively applied tariff rates at the six- and eight-digit product level are averaged for products in each commodity group. When the effectively applied rate is unavailable, the most favored nation rate is used instead.

Data Source
Statistics SA
South Africa - Inflation Sub-Indices, Monthly
Description

Monthly price changes for specific consumer categories, focusing on core items (excluding food and energy) and food items.

Data Source
Statistics South Africa (Stats SA)
South Africa - Inflation Differential, Monthly
Description

The difference between a country's inflation rate and the US inflation rate, showing relative price changes over time.

Data Source
US Bureau of Statistics, Statistics SA, Stears
South Africa - Consumer Price Index, Monthly
Description

The average monthly change in prices paid by consumers for goods and services.

Data Source
Statistics SA
South Africa - Consumer Price Index, Annual
Description

The average annual change in prices paid by consumers for goods and services.

Data Sources
World Bank
South Africa - Stears SSA Consumer Readiness Index
Description

The SSA Consumer Readiness Index evaluates Sub-Saharan Africa's consumer markets using indicators like income, electricity access, asset ownership, and formal employment, categorising markets as Emerging, Developing, Maturing, or Advanced.

Methodology

The Stears SSA Consumer Readiness Index evaluates the development of consumer markets across 27 Sub-Saharan African countries. It integrates income levels, electricity access, asset ownership, and formal wage employment indicators. These metrics are normalised, weighted, and aggregated to create a composite score for each country.

Based on their overall scores, countries are divided into four categories: Emerging, Developing, Maturing, and Advanced. Additional demographic and economic data, including life expectancy, median age, inflation, and unemployment rates, are incorporated to enhance the analysis. This framework provides a detailed and systematic assessment of consumer market development. Find out more about the Index here.

Data Sources
World Bank, OurWorldInData, Ceicdata, Nationmaster, Afrobarometer
South Africa - Household Consumption, Annual
Description

Total spending by households and nonprofits on goods and services, measured in both constant 2015 USD and local currency.

Data Source
World Bank
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South Africa - GDP (USD Billion), Annual
Description

Total GDP values in billions of US dollars and annual percentage changes.

Data Sources
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
South Africa - Real GDP (ZAR Billion), Quarterly
Description

Total economic output adjusted for inflation, measuring the actual volume of goods and services produced and percentage changes.

Data Source
Statistics South Africa (StatsSA)
South Africa - Real GDP (ZAR Billion), Annual
Description

Total economic output adjusted for inflation, measuring the actual volume of goods and services produced and percentage changes.

Data Source
Statistics South Africa (StatsSA)
South Africa - Nominal GDP (ZAR Billion), Quarterly
Description

Total economic output and percentage changes measured at current market prices, without adjusting for inflation.

Data Source
Statistics South Africa (StatsSA)
South Africa - Nominal GDP (ZAR Billion), Annual
Description

Total economic output and percentage changes measured at current market prices, without adjusting for inflation.

Data Source
Statistics South Africa (StatsSA)
South Africa - GDP per capita, Annual
Description

The data shows GDP per capita values and annual percentage changes.

Data Sources
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
South Africa - Government Expenditure-to-GDP, Annual
Description

Government spending as a percentage of GDP, calculated by dividing total government expenditure by GDP and expressing it as a percentage

Data Source
World Bank
South Africa - Trade-to-GDP, Annual
Description

Total exports and imports of goods and services, expressed as a percentage of GDP

Data Source
World Bank
South Africa - Private Sector Credit-to-GDP, Annual
Description

Domestic credit to the private sector, expressed as a percentage of GDP, includes financial resources like loans, trade credits, and other receivables

Data Source
World Bank
South Africa - GNI (USD Billion), Annual
Description

The total income earned by a country's residents and businesses, including earnings from abroad.

Data Source
World Bank
South Africa - GNI per capita, Annual
Description

Average annual income per person in a country, including earnings from both domestic and foreign sources.

Data Source
World Bank
South Africa - Sovereign Credit Ratings
Description

Sovereign credit ratings assess a country's ability to meet long-term foreign currency debt obligations, provided by S&P, Moody's, and Fitch

Methodology
Data Sources
Trading Economics, Fitch Ratings
South Africa - Stock Exchange Market Capitalisation & Equity Index, Monthly
Description

All Share Index (ASI), Market Capitalisation and Year to Date Return

Data Source
Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE)
South Africa - Foreign Trade, Quarterly
Description

Total value of international trade activity, including imports, exports, and overall trade balance.

Data Source
Statistics South Africa (StatsSA)
South Africa -Foreign Portfolio Investment, Monthly & Quarterly
Description

Net foreign investment in stocks and bonds, measuring the difference between investment inflows and outflows.

Data Source
South African Reserve Bank (SARB)
South Africa - Foreign Direct Investment, Annual
Description

Net foreign investment into the country, measuring new investments minus withdrawals, expressed as a percentage of GDP

Data Source
World Bank
South Africa - Total Banking Sector Non Performing Loans Ratio, Annual
Description

Measures the percentage of bank loans in default or significant payment delay relative to the total loan portfolio, indicating asset quality

Data Source
World Bank
South Africa - Purchasing Managers' Index, Monthly
Description

The Purchasing Managers Index tracks private sector performance across six metrics: output, new orders, inventories, employment, business confidence, and supplier delivery time. A reading above 50 indicates expansion, below 50 contraction, and 50 no change.

Methodology
Data Sources
Trading Economics
South Africa - Current Account Balance, Annual
Description

The difference between a country's income from foreign sources and payments to foreign recipients, including trade, services, and transfers.

Data Source
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
South Africa - Budget Balance, Annual
Description

The difference between government revenue and spending, showing either a surplus or deficit in public finances.

Data Source
World Bank
South Africa - Manufacturing Value Added, Annual
Description

The manufacturing sector's contribution to economic output (GDP), measured in value terms and as a percentage share.

Data Source
World Bank
South Africa - Industry Value Added, Annual
Description

The industrial sector's contribution to economic output (GDP), including mining, manufacturing, construction, and utilities.

Data Source
World Bank
South Africa - Formal Employment by Gender, Annual
Description

Wage and salaried workers includes their share of total employment and breakdowns by gender, reflecting employees in paid jobs with defined contracts

Data Source
World Bank
South Africa - Vulnerable Employment by Gender, Annual
Description

The percentage of total employment by gender in unstable jobs, including self-employed individuals without employees and unpaid family workers.

Data Source
World Bank
South Africa - Unemployment Rate, Quarterly
Description

Measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Data Source
Statistics South Africa (StatsSA), International Monetary Fund (IMF) Trading Economics
South Africa - Unemployment Rate by Gender, Annual
Description

Unemployment rate, defined as the share of the labour force without work but available for and seeking employment, based on standard international definitions.

Data Source
World Bank
Democracy and elections
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South Africa - Population by Age Group, Annual
Description

Total population broken down by age groups, showing demographic distribution.

Data Sources
UN World Population Prospects 2024
South Africa - Population Growth Rate, Annual
Description

The annual percentage change in total population size.

Data Source
Our World In Data
South Africa - Stears SSA Financial Inclusion Index
Description

The SSA Financial Inclusion Index assesses financial service depth in Sub-Saharan Africa using metrics like formal borrowing, account ownership, and mobile banking usage, highlighting market development and growth opportunities.

Methodology

The Stears SSA Financial Inclusion Index examines digital financial service adoption across 18 Sub-Saharan African countries using data from the World Bank’s Global Findex survey. It integrates account ownership, formal borrowing, and digital banking indicators. These metrics are normalised, weighted, and aggregated into a composite score. Countries are classified into four categories: Emerging, Developing, Maturing, and Advanced. The index incorporates nationally representative data to ensure consistency and comparability across countries. Trends are tracked using normalised metrics, enabling detailed analysis of digital financial service adoption. Find out more about the Index here.

Data Sources
Global Findex Database
South Africa - Debt-to-GDP, Annual
Description

The ratio of total government debt to economic output (GDP), indicating a country's ability to pay its debt.

Data Source
World Bank
South Africa - Debt Service-to-GNI, Annual
Description

The share of national income used to pay interest and principal on debt obligations.

Data Source
World Bank
South Africa - Public Debt, Annual
Description

Total public debt includes long-term debt, IMF credit, and short-term debt with a maturity of one year or less, reported in USD billions.

Data Source
World Bank
South Africa - Short Term Debt, Annual
Description

Government debt obligations due within one year, measured in US dollars and as shares of external debt and reserves.

Data Source
World Bank
South Africa - Government Revenue-to-GDP, Annual
Description

Total government income from all sources, expressed as a percentage of economic output (GDP).

Data Source
World Bank
South Africa - Tax Revenue-to-GDP, Annual
Description

Total tax collected by the government expressed as a percentage of economic output (GDP)

Data Source
World Bank
South Africa - Foreign Exchange Reserve, Monthly & Quarterly
Description

Foreign currency and assets held by the central bank, used to meet international payment obligations and support monetary policy

Data Source
South African Reserve Bank (SARB)
South Africa - Money Supply, Annual
Description

The annual total amount of money in circulation, including cash, bank deposits, and easily convertible financial assets.

Data Source
World Bank
South Africa - Inbound Remittances, Annual
Description

Money transferred by people working and living abroad to their families in their home countries, measured as total inbound transfers.

Data Source
World Bank
South Africa - Mobile Coverage Rate, Annual
Description

The number of active SIM cards or mobile lines per 100 people

Data Sources
World Bank
South Africa - Internet Penetration, Annual
Description

The percentage of the population with access to internet services.

Methodology
Data Sources
World Bank
South Africa - Electrification Rate, Annual
Description

The percentage of population with electricity access, broken down by urban and rural areas.

Data Sources
World Bank
South Africa - ATMs Distribution, Annual
Description

The number of ATMs per 100,000 individuals, reflecting the accessibility of banking services.

Data Source
World Bank
South Africa - Bank Account Ownership, Triennial
Description

Financial institution account usage among individuals aged 15 and above, segmented by gender.

Data Source
World Bank
South Africa - Digital Payment Trends, Triennial
Description

Digital payment trends and behaviours among individuals aged 15 and above.

Data Source
Global Findex Database
Description

Saving behaviours across different sources among adults aged 15 and above

Data Source
Global Findex Database
Description

Borrowing behaviours across different sources among adults aged 15 and above.

Data Source
Global Findex Database
South Africa - Life Expectancy at Birth, Annual
Description

The average years a newborn is expected to live under current mortality rates

Data Source
World Bank
South Africa - Primary Education Enrolment, Annual
Description

The share of primary school-age children enrolled in public and private schools, broken down by gender

Data Source
World Bank
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South Africa - Tariff Rates, Annual
Description

The taxes applied on imported goods, calculated as weighted (by import value) or simple averages, indicating trade barriers between countries.

Data Sources
World Bank based on data from the World Integrated Trade Solution platform
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South Africa - Monetary Policy Rate, Monthly
Description

The key interest rate set by the central bank to influence lending costs, credit growth, and overall economic activity.

Methodology
Data Sources
South Africa Reserve Bank
South Africa - Prime Lending Rate, Monthly
Description

The base interest rate banks charge their most creditworthy corporate borrowers, serving as a benchmark for other lending rates

Methodology

The World Bank offers an open data bank encompassing macroeconomic, social, fiscal and health statistics sourced from national authorities across the globe. Further details regarding this methodology can be found on the World Bank's methodology page: https://datahelpdesk.worldbank.org/knowledgebase/topics/19373-data-compilation-methodology

In the Stears dataset cleaning process, we specifically extracted data concerning mobile phone subscriptions, ATMs distribution and internet penetration across African countries. This enabled us to enhance our insights into financial inclusion and access to formal and informal financial services across the African nations.

Data Source
South Africa Reserve Bank
South Africa - Lending Rate, Annual
Description

The average interest rate banks charge for loans, to the private sector, including both households.

Data Sources
World Bank
South Africa - Interest on Deposits, Annual
Description

The average rate banks pay customers for keeping money in their deposit accounts, varying by account type.

Data Source
World Bank
South Africa - Interest Rate Spread, Annual
Description

The difference between interest rates earned on assets and paid on liabilities, indicating financial institutions' net profit margin.

Data Source
World Bank
Democracy and elections
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